| Chairman Rohrabacher, Ranking
Member Bart Gorton, and other members of the Subcommittee on Space
and Aeronautics, thank you for the opportunity to present testimony
on behalf of the National Space Society. On NASA's 40th anniversary
it is appropriate to reassess the agency's goals and structure, and
to look ahead to ensure it is best poised to meet the needs of the
United States as we move into the next millennium.
The world has changed dramatically since NASA was
created in July of 1958. The Cold War has ended. Space exploration
no longer is the sole domain of the United States and Soviet Union,
but a venture shared by many nations. Commercial space expenditures
greatly exceed government investments. And the world is rapidly
moving toward a global marketplace in which the manufacturing of
high technology goods is becoming increasingly competitive and
critical to the economic health of our nation.
Sputnik and the New Space
Age
NASA is a product of both the Cold
War and the advent of the Space Age. The United States established
the agency to respond to the Soviet Union's burgeoning space
program. But NASA also was created to open the space frontier.
Officials realized the ability to launch spacecraft beyond Earth's
atmosphere portended a new era of exploration and discovery, and
they believed a civilian government agency was necessary to attract
the support and coordinate the activities of the science community,
which would lead the way.
On October 4, 1957, Russia placed into orbit a
183-pound satellite named Sputnik I. Less than a month later, it
lofted a 1,120-pound payload to space, Sputnik II, carrying the
dog, Laika. The United States reacted with alarm. According to Dr.
Vannevar Bush, chairman of MIT, "it was a rude awakening." It
generated "a great shock to the country to learn that in a field
where we thought we were doing well, we have been exceeded by
[Russia's] performance," he explained in testimony before Congress.
U.S. Air Force Lt. General D. L. Putt bluntly declared, "If
liberty, freedom, and justice are to prevail for all people, we
cannot permit the dominance of space by those who say they will
bury the United States." Lt. General James H. Doolittle warned "the
United States cannot let space go by default to the Soviet
Union."
Problems worsened on December 6, when a U.S.
Vanguard rocket exploded seconds after launch from Cape Canaveral.
On the world stage, the United States suffered an embarrassing
debacle. Congress and the Eisenhower Administration scrambled to
find out what had gone wrong with the nation's space program and to
implement corrective actions.
"The immediate problem is obvious," explained
Rep. McCormack, chairman of the House Select Committee on
Astronautics and Space Exploration. "We see another nation of great
potentiality, militant and competitive, which has already made the
first advances in the mastery of outer space. We cannot stand by
and watch this nation make that mastery complete."
"With the launching of Sputniks I and II, and
with the information at hand of Russia's strength, our supremacy
and even our equality has been challenged," stated then Senator
Lyndon Johnson, chairman of the Armed Services subcommittee
inquiring into satellite and missile programs. "We must meet this
challenge quickly and effectively in all its aspects."
While the Soviet Union's space program posed a
daunting challenge to America's national security interests,
considered of greater significance was the nation's transition to
the Space Age. "There is something much bigger and more important
in front of us than a few pieces of military hardware," Lyndon
Johnson declared. Ballistic missiles, he argued, "do not hold the
key of our future." Instead, he said it " is a new frontier -- a
new age -- that is exciting and challenging." McCormack echoed this
viewpoint, stating: "[W]e must enact legislation for the immediate
future and must also lay the groundwork for a long-term effort of
exploration and scientific development." Looking beyond the
horizon, McCormack said, "we are beginning an era of discovery
literally as far-reaching as the discovery of our own
continent."
There was broad agreement among Washington officials
that a new civilian agency should lead America's space program, and
not the Department of Defense, which had let the Soviet Union
eclipse our nation's space effort. The United States could have
launched a satellite to space as much as a year earlier than
Russia, but internal rivalry in the Pentagon scuttled the
opportunity. In September of 1956, the Defense Department ordered a
halt to the work on the Jupiter-C rocket. "After we had fired the
first Jupiter-C over a range of 3,300 miles," Wernher von Braun
testified before Congress, "we had hoped that this would persuade
the Pentagon to give us permission to try a satellite launching,
but this hope never materialized." Braun added that "specifically
we were not permitted to fire into orbit."
Frederick L. Hovde, Chairman of the Army Scientific
Advisory Panel, accused the Defense Department of mismanaging the
space program. "The problem before the nation is not simply one of
money, facilities, nor even men -- these we have in substantial
amounts and that which we don't have can be provided," he said.
"Whatever the failures may be, they are primarily those of
management... which result in delays in decision making and
confusion in the direction of our technological forces." The
Vanguard program had fallen short according to John P. Hagen,
director of the Vanguard Project at the Naval Research Laboratory,
because of "too many administrative channels and levels to go
through in order to get policy decisions and funds in the time
limits with which we were dealing."
NASA's Birth
The main question before Congress and
the Eisenhower Administration, as expressed by then Vice President
Richard, was: "What type of government agency should have the
primary responsibility in the development of our outer space
program?" President Eisenhower strongly advocated the establishment
of a civilian agency. "I have reached this conclusion," he
explained, "because space exploration holds the promise of adding
importantly to our knowledge of the Earth, the solar system, and
the universe, and because it is of great importance to have the
fullest cooperation of the scientific community at home and abroad
in moving forward in the fields of space science and
technology."
The House and Senate concurred and drafted bills to
create the National Space and Aeronautics Administration. "The
decision to enter into the Space Age is not one the United States
can ignore or defer," a House report declared. "Our national
survival requires it." Senator Clark called the creation of NASA
"one of the most important activities which has confronted the
government of the United States in the history of the
republic."
The real purpose of the new agency, observed Senator
Carroll, was "to draw into play or operation the scientific talent
of the nation...." Maintaining the space program in the hands of
the military would have limited the participation of civilian
scientists. Lyndon Johnson agreed, adding, "we must draw upon every
available source and use it to the fullest extent in order to make
the great effort which needs to be made, and there must be
coordination of the effort."
The mission of the new space agency was largely
defined by the Eisenhower Administration. Its overarching goal is
"the expansion of human knowledge of outer space and the use of
space technology for scientific inquiry." Reflecting concern about
the Soviet space program, NASA was also given the responsibility of
preserving "the role of the United States as a leader in
aeronautical and space science and technology." A road map with
specific projects was left undefined, in large part because
officials were uncertain what the future might bring. "The sum of
our understanding is not yet sufficient for us to comprehend how
vast are the dimensions of our ignorance," a Senate report
declared. "We have no frame of reference by which to visualize the
design of tomorrow." Senator Saltonstall repeated this view during
a speech on the Senate floor. "[I]t seems to me that there are no
experts in the subject with which we are now concerned.... All that
anyone can do is to speculate about space and its implications for
man."
Congressman McCormack mused, "What we will learn
from the Moon, and probably the outer planets, no man can rightly
say. On the basis of what we already know, we can predict that the
advances will be literally beyond our present understanding."
Getting Started
Military space science programs were
placed under the management of the new space agency. It also
absorbed a group of research institutes. Over the next three years,
NASA launched nearly a dozen satellites as part of the Explorer
program, and used Vanguard rockets to send science payloads beyond
Earth orbit to measure solar radiation, the Earth's magnetic field,
and micrometeorite impacts.
In the days that followed NASA's creation, officials
approved the Mercury Project, a series of suborbital and orbital
flights designed to put a human in space. "The chief justification
for pushing Project Mercury on the present time scale," according
to George Kistiakowsky, Eisenhower's science advisor, "lies in the
political desire either to be the first nation to send a man into
orbit, or at least to be a close second." Additionally, NASA
initiated the Ranger program to photograph and map the Moon.
The Soviet Union continued to march ahead of the
United States, launching the first rocket past the Moon and the
first vehicle to the lunar surface. A Russian spacecraft in October
of 1959 sent back the first pictures of the far side of the Moon.
And on April 12, 1961, the Soviet Union placed the first human in
space, cosmonaut Yuri Gagarin.
President Kennedy was in office for less than three
months when Gagarin made his historic flight. As part of the budget
process, NASA had pleaded for a boost in spending "to catch up to
the Soviet Union in space performance," but was turned down by
Kennedy, and the agency received only a modest increase in funding.
Shortly after Gagarin's flight, Kennedy revisited the issue. He
talked with NASA Administrator James Webb about the possibility of
a lunar landing and was told it would cost more than $20 billion
(about $105 billion in 1998 dollars). Days later, America suffered
yet another foreign policy failure when the U.S. withdrew support
from anti-Castro forces in the Bay of Pigs invasion, increasing
pressure on Kennedy to take decisive action to meet the threat
posed by the Soviet Union. Kennedy asked then Vice President Lyndon
Johnson if there was any "space program which promises results in
which [America] could win." Johnson reported back that Russia
already had "a rocket capability for putting a multi-manned
laboratory into space." It had "crash-landed a rocket on the Moon"
and had "the booster capability of making a soft landing on the
Moon with a payload of instruments." About a human trip around the
Moon or to the lunar surface, Johnson told Kennedy "neither the
U.S. nor the USSR has such capability at this time, so far as we
know." Given sufficient resources, Johnson predicted "the United
States could conceivably be first in those two accomplishments by
1966 or 1967."
Kennedy returned to the U.S. Capitol for a second
State of the Union address in May of 1961 to announce his response
to the Soviet Union. He warned the nation that Russia was ahead of
the U.S. in space technology, and said it would likely "exploit
this lead for some time to come in still more impressive
successes." As a consequence, he stated we "are required to make
new efforts on our own." America could not guarantee it would one
day be first in space, the President explained, but "we can
guarantee that any failure to make this effort will make us last."
Kennedy then announced the goal for America of "landing a man on
the Moon and returning him safely to the Earth." He said, "No
single space project in this period will be more impressive to
mankind, or more important for the long-range exploration of
space."
Beyond Apollo
In the mid 1960s, President Lyndon
Johnson asked NASA to identify potential missions to follow the
Apollo program. The space agency produced a report that contained
few specifics on possible future projects. NASA discussed in broad
terms the option of extending stays on the Moon to "30 days and
possibly to as much as 90 days." Other potential long-range goals
included "an Earth-orbiting space station, a lunar base with roving
vehicle, and a planetary spacecraft."
Eight years after Kennedy's announcement, Neil
Armstrong and Buzz Aldrin planted the American flag on the Moon's
surface. The public cheered the victory and took pride in the
historic accomplishment. Much had changed in the world since
America embarked on the Moon landing. The United States and Soviet
Union had amassed huge nuclear arsenals that placed into jeopardy
each country's population centers. The Cuban Missile Crisis nearly
triggered a nuclear exchange, revealing the dangers of Cold War
brinkmanship. China broke ranks with the Soviet Union, revealing a
division within the Communist Party, and the United States was
bogged down in the Vietnam War, placing huge demands on the federal
budget.
President Nixon began steering a new course in
American foreign policy. He replaced space competition with the
policy of detente. Nixon hoped to ease international tensions by
engaging U.S. adversaries in a dialog. He opened relations with
China and traveled to the Soviet Union. Rather than build bigger
and more powerful rockets, he sought to negotiate treaties to put
limits on ICBMs. This dramatic change in foreign policy is
reflected in the handshake between America and Russia aboard the
Apollo-Soyuz spacecraft in 1975.
Weeks after Nixon became president he appointed a
Space Task Group, led by Vice President Spiro Agnew, to make
recommendations on what to do after the Apollo program. In
September of 1969, the task group issued a report with a series of
options for America's space program for the following two decades.
The task group urged the construction of a 50-person Earth-orbiting
space station, an "Earth to orbit shuttle," a lunar space station,
and a permanent Moon base "capable of long stay-time on the lunar
surface with 3- to 6-man teams." Assuming these programs were
approved and funded, the task group envisioned the "eventual manned
expedition to Mars in the 1980's."
No Longer Unique
Throughout the 1960's, funding for
NASA was given special consideration. At its peak, about five
percent of the federal budget was directed to the space program.
President Nixon said we must "define new goals [for NASA] which
make sense for the seventies." He stated that "Our approach to
space must continue to be bold, but it must also be balanced." To
emphasize this point, he added, "We must recognize that many
critical problems here on the planet make high priority demands on
our attention and our resources."
Nixon said the United States should not allow NASA
to stagnate. "But -- with the entire future and the entire universe
before us -- we should not try to do everything at once," he
declared. From here on out NASA would be treated in the same
fashion as other government agencies. Its budget would be evaluated
the same as other departments. The era of blank check spending was
over.
Nixon proposed six long-term objectives for
America's space program. He said the nation should continue to
explore the Moon, and move "ahead with bold exploration of the
planets and the universe." On a more practical level, he said the
U.S. should "reduce substantially the cost of space operations." We
"should seek to extend man's capability to live and work in space,"
he offered, "hasten and expand the practical applications of space
technology," and "encourage greater international cooperation."
NASA struggled with the Nixon Administration to
attain funding for its next major leap into space. Reflective of
the space agency's change in status, Congress canceled the Apollo
missions 18 through 20. The Space Task Group, at a minimum, wanted
Nixon to begin development of both the Space Shuttle and space
station. But the combined programs were unaffordable when balanced
with the demands of other programs. The space station would have to
wait. Finally Nixon, in January of 1972, announced his support for
a $6.2 billion shuttle program. He touted the new vehicle, saying
it would give America "routine access to space by sharply reducing
costs in dollars and preparation of time."
NASA Stumbles
It took a decade for NASA to develop
the partially reusable Space Shuttle. In April of 1981, John Young
and Robert Crippen piloted the first shuttle to orbit, putting
Americans back into space. At the end of the fourth flight, NASA
declared the vehicle "operational." The shuttle began ferrying
commercial and government satellites, research laboratories, and
DOD payloads to orbit. NASA predicted that over the first five
years it would conduct 116 missions, but only 32 flights actually
occurred.
The prospect of lower space transportation costs
energized private industry. Congress updated NASA's mission
statement to require the agency to "seek and encourage to the
maximum extent possible the fullest commercial use of space." It
also created the Commercial Space Centers program to help
businesses learn how to use space for commercial applications.
NASA pressed government leaders to take the next
step into space. President Reagan in 1984 announced his support for
an orbiting space station. Congress subsequently allocated $150
million for studies to determine its design and scope. The
station's size, capability, and dependence on new technologies
would all greatly influence its final cost.
In January of 1986, NASA's dreams began to unravel.
Challenger exploded soon after liftoff, grounding the fleet for 32
months while investigators searched for the cause of the accident
and engineers upgraded design weaknesses. Space science probes
configured to fit in the shuttle's payload bay had to be redesigned
or were delayed by years until the shuttle could again be made
flightworthy. Compounding the space agency's troubles, problems
arose in the space station project. Early configurations were too
expensive, prompting Congress to intervene and force more
affordable designs.
NASA's increasingly bureaucratic structure and
management were blamed for its growing troubles. The once proud
organization seemed to have lost its vision. The can-do agency was
ridiculed by critics as the gang who couldn't shoot straight. As a
means to re-energize NASA, President Bush announced a long-term
vision for the agency. On the 25th anniversary of the Apollo
landing on the Moon, Bush pledged America to return to the lunar
surface to establish a permanent base, then to venture to Mars.
Problems at NASA went from bad to worse. News
articles began to question the need for NASA, which critics dubbed
a white collar jobs program. In 1992, major programs managed by the
space agency were running on average 70 percent over budget. The
Space Shuttle repeatedly did not get off the ground due to
technical difficulties. Not until the Hubble Space Telescope was
launched into orbit did engineers learn it had a flawed mirror. And
in 1993, the $1 billion Mars Observer was lost as it prepared for
insertion into Mars orbit.
Faster, Better, Cheaper NASA
To get NASA back on its feet,
President Bush replaced Administrator Richard Truly, a former
astronaut, with Daniel S. Goldin, a top TRW executive with
extensive managerial expertise. Goldin implemented a wide range of
reforms, restructuring the agency from top to bottom. There are now
about 7,000 fewer employees. For the most part -- the space station
being the major exception -- programs are running on budget and the
Space Shuttle is flying on time.
During the 1980s, NASA could afford to launch only a
handful of planetary missions. Each spacecraft was running $1
billion or more. Goldin reorganized the Space Science Office,
radically changing how it does business. In the place of large,
complex, expensive probes, NASA began to design and build smaller,
lower-cost spacecraft. Development schedules are limited, and many
programs have funding caps. As an example of the new approach to
space science, instead of replacing the lost Mars Observer with
another large spacecraft, NASA instituted a decade long program in
which it will launch ten smaller probes to the planet for the same
amount of money.
Programs in the Human Space Flight Office were also
reconfigured. The space station project was placed under the
watchful eye of a single prime contractor. More than 100,000 pounds
of hardware have been constructed and the launch of the first
element is soon to commence -- assuming financial problems in
Russia can be overcome.
Efforts are underway to replace the shuttle with a
more cost-effective vehicle. Goldin initiated the X-33 program to
determine the feasibility of a single-stage-to-orbit reusable
launch vehicle (RLV). The operation of the shuttle is being turned
over to private industry and plans are in the pipeline to do the
same with the space station after its assembly.
Despite NASA's many successes, funding for the space
agency has declined every year during the Clinton Administration,
reflecting an erosion of political support. Although Goldin has
nursed the space agency back to health, its future remains far from
certain. After the assembly of the station, the next human space
flight project has yet to be determined. National policy
promulgated by President Clinton only commits NASA to completing
the station, at which time the orbiting laboratory "will support
future decisions on the feasibility and desirability of conducting
further human exploration activities." Unlike the Space Science
program, which has a 25-year road map, NASA has no clear, long-term
plan for human exploration. Many in the space community advocate
sending an expedition to Mars, but the cost remains prohibitively
expensive. (One NASA study pegs the price over ten years at
$160-$320 billion.) As an alternative, others in the space
community are urging a more affordable option -- the establishment
of a permanent base on the Moon.
A foreign policy crisis or comparable rationale does
not exist as it did in the 1960s to compel government leaders to
support a major boost in spending for our nation's space program.
The Cold War tensions that spurred Americans to generously fund the
space race are a thing of the past. So what is to be done? What
should be NASA's future role and purpose? How can the agency
provide adequate funding for the human spaceflight program while
best advancing U.S. interests?
Redefining NASA
Forty years ago, NASA was
established, in part, as a tool of foreign policy to demonstrate
America's technological prowess. Mr. Goldin is reshaping NASA to
respond to a new threat to our nation's technological
leadership.
More and more countries are entering the high-tech
marketplace and investing greater resources in science and
technology. According to the National Science Foundation, "The
global market for high-tech goods is growing at a faster rate than
that for other manufactured goods, and economic activity in
high-tech industries is driving national economic growth around the
world." Between 1993-95, "high-tech industry output grew at over 8
percent per year -- more than twice the rate of growth for all
other manufacturing industries."
Our future ability to compete and win in the global
marketplace -- and sustain our high standard of living -- will be
dependent upon our competitiveness, which is directly related to
investments in science and technology. In 1980, the United States
produced 26 percent of the world's high-tech exports. Our market
share has steadily declined and in 1995, the latest year for which
data are available, exports by U.S. high-tech industries slipped to
19.2 percent. In second place is Japan with 11.9 percent, the
United Kingdom is third with 7.2 percent, and Germany is fourth
with 6.9 percent.
NASA is an important contributor to our nation's
technological base. Space poses unique challenges for engineers. In
outer space, power and mass are limited. Hardware must be highly
reliable and function in extreme temperatures. Engineering
spacecraft for science and spaceflight missions forces engineers to
generate unique solutions, which are then transferred to industry
for commercial applications. Space also is a new tool for research.
In a microgravity environment in space, physical processes react
differently allowing scientists to gather data they cannot obtain
on Earth that enable them to improve terrestrial products.
Although NASA's overall budget has declined each
year since 1992, its contribution to research and development has
increased slightly. To help maintain U.S. leadership in advanced
technology, Mr. Goldin is restructuring NASA to support long-range,
high-risk research and pushing the agency to get out of the
business of operating space programs, such as the shuttle fleet,
which consumes billions of dollars annually and contributes little
to our competitiveness.
Increasingly NASA is working in partnership with
academia and industry on joint, advanced technology projects to
leverage resources and ensure the relevancy of research. The X-33
program points in the direction of how NASA wants to operate in the
future. Instead of government building a half-scale test vehicle,
Lockheed Martin Skunk Works is responsible for the lion's share of
the work with NASA providing engineering and financial support.
Lockheed Martin is investing some $200 million of its own money. If
all goes as planned, after flight tests in 1999, Lockheed Martin
will be in a position to develop and fund the construction of a
full-scale RLV, which NASA estimates could deliver payloads to
space for about one-tenth as much as the Space Shuttle. The new
vehicle would give the United States a competitive advantage in the
launch of commercial payloads and open the door to lower-cost, RLV
space transportation.
Commercial space investments now exceed those of the
federal government. According to the Teal Group, some 1,700
satellites worldwide will be launched over the next decade, 70
percent of which will be commercial. The industry is expected to
grow by at least 20 percent annually, generating 70,000 new
high-tech jobs each year. Revenues by the year 2000 are predicted
to exceed $100 billion annually.
It is no longer necessary for NASA to maintain a
large government workforce to develop space technology. Private
industry has matured, and can more efficiently and effectively
manage many ongoing programs. NASA needs to step aside and let
industry take the driver's seat. The space agency needs to assume a
more supportive role in the same way it assists the aeronautics
industry. NASA's goal should be to nourish industry to ensure it
remains competitive by concentrating on the development of
high-risk advanced technologies.
Unfortunately, there is resistance to change in
parts of NASA. Many programs are cash cows that primarily benefit
government workers. There are some in NASA who want to preserve the
status quo and are thwarting Goldin's vision for NASA as an
incubator of advanced technology to keep America competitive. The
problem also extends to Congress where some members are more
worried about protecting constituencies than promoting reforms in
NASA. These reactions are understandable and mirror the problems
the Defense Department encountered when it attempted to close
surplus military bases. Only by creating an outside panel was it
possible to overcome political pressures and introduce changes to
restructure its military's bases.
The National Space Society recommends that a blue
ribbon commission of outside experts be impaneled to assess public
expectations of the space program for the new millennium, and to
evaluate NASA's management of programs and to recommend ways to
modernize the agency. The panel would be charged with finding
additional ways to reduce costs, further integrate NASA's research
centers with universities, and attract more industry support
through pursuit of commercially relevant research and
development.
As an example, efficiencies could be gained by tying
each of NASA's research centers to state universities and boosting
the involvement of industry. According to the National Science
Foundation, "the academic sector is the largest performer of basic
research, with expenditures totaling an estimated $16 billion in
1997." Industry is increasingly looking to academia to conduct
long-term, high-risk research. "Industry officials have tapped this
resource not only to realize the beneficial results of the research
they sponsor," the NSF states, "but also to capitalize on
opportunities to train future scientists and engineers, most of
whom will one day be working in their laboratories."
NASA has tremendous talent and resources, and by
integrating its facilities more closely with academia and industry,
America's technological base could be strengthened. In space
science, universities are now building spacecraft to explore the
solar system. Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory
designed and constructed the NEAR spacecraft, which was launched in
February of 1996, and early next year will rendezvous with the
asteroid Eros to conduct a year-long study of its composition and
structure.
Creating stronger partnerships between NASA and
universities would enhance science, reduce costs, and improve
education. Students would benefit by gaining real-life experience
in the design and construction of advanced technology projects.
Industry would benefit from having a better educated workforce to
compete in the marketplace. Universities would benefit by having
opportunities to work on cutting-edge technology projects, keeping
them the best in the world. And the taxpayers would benefit from
reduced costs and enhancements in the nation's competitiveness.
Funding Space Exploration
There are many convincing reasons to
mount a human expedition to Mars. Such a historic mission would
enliven America's spirit. It would allow scientists to search for
evidence of fossil life. It would promote math and science
education, and spur new technological developments. The primary
obstacle to such an expedition is the excessive cost. Given
limitations in federal funding and intense competition among
government agencies for resources, it is very unlikely tens of
billions of dollars in additional funding can be carved out of the
federal budget for a Mars mission. There is no national crisis to
warrant taking money from other government programs or to raise
taxes to pay the cost of the expedition.
The politics of the 1960s were unique. Even
President Kennedy resisted a lunar landing until forced to do so by
an international crisis. Without a comparable situation, spending
the huge amount necessary for a government funded human mission to
Mars cannot be politically justified. Since the Nixon
Administration, Congress has authorized only two major spaceflight
programs -- the development of the Space Shuttle (originally
projected to cost $6.5 billion) and the International Space Station
(originally projected to cost $8 billion). Until and unless a Mars
mission can be accomplished at a reasonable price, it is going to
be an uphill battle to gain the necessary political
endorsements.
Given the sticker shock for a human expedition to
Mars, a realistic strategy needs to be formulated to accommodate
this barrier. NASA's options are limited. The agency can continue
to slowly move forward, developing new technologies in the hope of
making a human flight to Mars palatable to government officials.
This go-it-alone strategy relies on government funding to succeed,
and is thus a precarious approach. In the recent past, Congress and
the Administration have not demonstrated any enthusiasm to boost
NASA's budget, and to the contrary continue to cut spending,
reducing resources available for research. Earlier this year, the
Administration attempted to terminate all R&D programs related
to a Mars mission. This trend could conceivably change, but is
highly problematic given future demands for federal spending as
baby boomers reach retirement age early in the next century.
An alternative option would be to lower the cost of
human space expeditions by attracting commercial space investments
and encouraging competition. Private industry is a natural ally of
NASA that can tap the deep pockets of Wall Street. Industry will be
willing to invest in space enterprises once technologies are
validated and it is possible to generate a profit.
An example of how this circuitous strategy might be
employed to lower space transportation expenses is the development
of solar space power (SSP). A recent NASA study concludes SSP could
be technically and economically viable within as little as ten
years. Low-cost access to space is a prerequisite to making SSP a
reality. Other critical technologies include low-cost,
high-efficiency solar energy conversion, modular and
self-assembling systems, and robust structures resistant to debris
and micrometeorite impacts.
Building a prototype SSP facility would spur private
investment in space transportation. It is necessary to get costs
down to hundreds of dollars per pound. The same technology to
accomplish this goal could be applied to human spaceflight
missions. Once power is readily available in space and
transportation costs are substantially lowered, space-based
manufacturing becomes a real possibility. Space tourism would no
longer be science fiction.
Unfortunately, many at NASA have a jaundiced view
about industry. They see space business as a way to generate money
to invest in human exploration, a means to replace funding cut by
Congress and the Administration. But American businesses do not
work for NASA; NASA should be working for American businesses -- to
create new economic opportunities and new jobs.
NASA is investing minimal amounts to develop
commercial space enterprises. It is spending only about $30 million
annually to support commercial activities on the space station. For
solar space power research, NASA had to be forced to invest a mere
$12 million over three years. According to a recent report by the
National Academy of Public Administration (NAPA), "If NASA wants to
accelerate commercialization, it should provide ongoing funding to
approximately 30-35 [Commercial Space] Centers. The public funding
required for this number of Centers ranges between $75 million and
$100 million a year."
We have only scratched the surface on the
possibilities for space commerce. What the future may bring, no one
can know. NASA needs be more aggressive in laying the groundwork
for commercial space enterprises. It needs to accelerate its role
as the vanguard of high-risk technology development, and further
integrate its resources with academia and industry. The key to the
future is not more government, but private investment. It is time
for NASA to step aside and allow private industry to take the lead
in space operations. By following this new course, the agency can
best strengthen America's economic health and open the way for
sustained human exploration of outer space.
After funding the exploration of the Western
frontier, the U.S. government invested public resources to build
roads and canals to promote commerce. It subsidized the
construction of railroads and the national highway system. It is
incumbent upon NASA to now serve a similar role. In addition to
exploring space, it needs to be concerned about building commercial
links to Earth orbit. This responsibility may not be as exciting as
exploration, but it is necessary for America's future.
On its 40th anniversary, NASA needs to look beyond
Goldin's reforms to understand the global changes that are
underway, and position itself to enhance our nation's economic
strength by promoting advanced technologies and supporting the
development of a commercial space infrastructure.
|